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l, >:>=G0=85 >?@545;5=8O >B>-01A>@1F8>==>5; :>10;LB0  ACE>5 >7>;5=85 A @0AB2>@5=85A;54CNI59 M:AB@0:F859 A 2-=8B@>7>- 1-=0DB>;>02K9 :8A;>BK, >:>=G0=85 >?@545;5=8O 0B>-01A>@1F8>==>5. '8A;5==>ABL >A=>2=KE 3@C?? M:>;>3>-B@>D8G5A:8E 3@C?? >@30=872 CAB0=02;820;0AL 4>4AG5B0 (?>A520) =0 M:;5:B82=KE ?8B0B5;L=KE A@540E: F5;;N;>7>@07;030NI8E, =8B@8D8:0B>@>2, 45=8B@8D8:0B>@>2, 0<=8D8:0B>@>2 (5B>4K ?>G25==>9 18>;>388 & , 1980). ">:A8G=>ABL ?>G2 87CG0;0AL A 8A?>;L7>20=85B5AB0 (@548A :@0A=K9 A 15;K=G8:><) (.. 8=552, .%. 5<?5, 1987). 0B51@01>B:0 M:A?5@82>48;0AL 40==>3>, :>@@5;OF8>==>3> 8 @53@5AA8>==>3> 0=0;87>2 (.. >A?5E>2, 1985) =0 - A 8A?>;L7>20=85=>ABL @0AAG8BK20;0AL ?> B5E=>;>38G5A:8< :0@B0;L7>20=852KE =>@M=5@35B8G5A:0O >F5=:0 B5E=>;>389 2K@0I820=8O :>@2KE :C;LBC@ ?@>2>48;0AL 2 A>>B25BAB288 A 48G5A:8<5=40F8OB0==K<8 CG5=K<8 !% (1989), C;0B:8=K20=89 @>;>38G5A:85 CA;>28O $  / +! #"+%  &   ## #+>41>@ 381@84>2 @07;8G=KE 3@C?? A?5;>AB8 A;54C5B >ACI5AB2;OBL A CG5B>G25==>-:;8289 @538>=0 2>745;K20=8O, >@30=870F8>==>9 8 M:>=>9 F5;5A>>1@07=>AB8. #@>609=>ABL :C:C@C7K >?@545;O5BAO A>>B25BAB2CNI8G5B0=85;8G5AB20 2K?040NI8E >A04:>2 8 A:;04K20NI8<AO B5<?5@0BC@=K< @568<.  7028A8AB8 >B A:>@>A?5;>AB8 381@84>2 :C:C@C7K <0:A84C:B82=>ABL >15A?5G8205BAO @07=K>B=>H5=85< B5A04:>2. 708A2O7L C@>609=>AB8 =04759 D8B>2 (C) A A>G5B0=85A04:>2 ( ) 8 AC<9 0:B82=KE B5<?5@0BC@ (t) 70 8N;L 289 ;5A>AB5?8 !@54=53> >2>;6LO 8MDD8F85=B :>@@5;OF88 0,890. $>@20=85 C@>609=>AB8 D8B>2 (C) 2 7028A8AB8 >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 ( ) 8 AC<<K 0:B82=KE B5?8AK205BAO A;54CNI8< C@02=5=85:1-$>@20=85 C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K 2 7028A8AB8 >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 8 AC<<K 0:B82=KE B5A=>20=88 @57C;LB0B>2 8AA;54>20=89 8 AB0B8AB8G5A:>9 >1@01>B:8 M:A?5@82;5=>, GB> =081>;LHCN @>;L 2 D>@20=88 2KA>:>?@>4C:B82=KE 03@>F5=>7>2 @0==5A?5;KE 381@84>2 :C:C@C7K 83@05B >?B85 A>G5B0=85 AC<<K 0:B82=KE B5A04:>2 70 ?5@8>4 8N;O 8 8N=O-8N;O.  D>@20=88 C@>609=>AB8 :C:C@C7K 2 @07=K5 ?5@8>4K 2535B0F88 206=CN @>;L 83@0NB >A04:8. #@02=5=85 =5;8=59=>9 A2O78, E0@0:B5@87CNI55 2708A2O7L C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K (C) >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 (E) 70 8N=L-023CAB 8 284 ?>;8=><0: C = 48,22 + 0,99E  0,0038E2 + 0,000044E3 (r2=0,525) (@8A. 2). 5;8=59=0O 7028A8ABL ?>:07K205B, GB> <0:A8609 D8B>@A04:>2 >B 180 4> 230 <<. EMBED STATISTICA.Graph \s  EMBED STATISTICA.Graph \s 8N=L-023CAB : 2-$>@20=85 C@>60O 75;5=>9 2:C:C@C7K 2 7028A8AB8 >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 $>@20=85 C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K 2 7028A8AB8 >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 70 ?5@8>4 ?8AK205BAO C@02=5=85;8=>:07K205B, GB> =081>;55 8=B5=A82=K9 ?@8@>AB D8B>15A?5G8205BAO 2K?045=85< 70 <09-023CAB (E) 200  250 <A04:>2. 028A8ABL C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 (C) >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 70 :A820;0AL =5;8=59=K< C@02=5=85;55 8=B5=A82=K9 ?@8@>AB C@>609=>AB8 >B;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 70 B 220 4> 260 <2;5=0 B5A=0O 2708A2O7L (r2=0,965) ;8G5AB2>A04:>2 70 8N=L-023CAB 8 C@>6059 2 :C:C@C7K. 0 D>@20=85 C@>609=>AB8 A@54=5A?5;KE 381@84>2 :C:C@C7K (C) >:07K20NB 2;8O=85 >A04:8 70 ?5@8>4 8N=L-023CAB (E). 5;8=59=>5 C@02=5=85 8 284: C = 92,98  1,46E + 0,01E2  0,00019E3 (r2 =0,862). 028A8ABL C@>609=>AB8 @0==5A?5;KE 381@84>2 (C) >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 70 2535B0F8N (E) ?@54AB02;5=0 C@02=5=85<: C = 8,05 + 0,0013E + 0,0013E2  0,00030E3 (r2=0,585).708A2O7L C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 (C) >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 70 2535B0F8N (E) E0@0:B5@87>20;0AL :>MDD8F85=B>@@5;OF88 0,668. 5;8=59=>5 C@02=5=85 8 284: C = 129,52  1,51E + 0,0072E2  0,0001E3.$>@20=85 C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K (C) 2 7028A8AB8 >B :>;8G5AB20 >A04:>2 70 2535B0F8N (E) >?8AK20;>AL C@02=5=85<: C = 27,19 + 0,0052E + 0,00052E2  0,0000092E3 (r2=0,620). "0:81@07>;LH0O C@>609=>ABL @0==5A?5;KE 381@84>2 :C:C@C7K D>@;8G5AB25 >A04:>2 2 ?5@8>4 2535B0F88 260-300 <<, <0:A8<C609=>AB8 A@54=5@0==8E 381@84>2 2>76=> ?>;CG8BL ?@8 2K?045=88 300-330 <A04:>2. 081>;LH0O ?@>4C:B82=>ABL A@54=5A?5;KE 381@84>2 65B 1KBL ?>;CG5=0 ?@8 2K?045=88 70 2535B0F8N 1>;55 360 <A04:>2. ?@>F5AA5 D>@20=8O C@>60O 4>AB0B>G=> ?>;=CN E0@0:B5@8AB8:C CA;>289 B5?;>- 8 2;03>>15A?5G5==>AB8 ?>A52>2 405B 384@>B5@MDD8F85=B ("). 708A2O7L " 609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K (C) E0@0:B5@87>20;0AL C@02=5=85<: C = 25,72 + 101,03E  47,83E2 + 4,65E3 (r2=0,557). "0:, A C25;8G5=85 1,3 C@>609=>ABL 2>7@0AB05B. !2O7L <564C MB8<8 25;8G8=0<8 2 7028A8AB8 >B " 8N=O - 8N;O 0??@>:A8<8@C5BAO =5;8=59=K< C@02=5=85<: C = 22,71  0,92E + 12,13E2  4,30E3 (r2=0,632).  @57C;LB0B5 3>;5B=8E 8AA;54>20=89 CAB0=>2;5=>, GB> 2 CA;>28OE ;5A>AB5?8 C@54=53> >2>;6LO ?>;CG5=85 =081>;LH59 C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K 2>76=> ?@8 " (E) 1,0-1,3 70 ?5@8>4 8N=L-023CAB (@8A. 3). 0;L=59H55 C25;8G5=85 " A=8605B ?@8@>AB D8B> 1,0 =0 :064K5 0,1 " D>@?>;=8B5;L=> 3,0 B/30. 5;8=59=>5 C@02=5=85, >?8AK20NI55 MBC 7028A8ABL, 8: 3-$>@20=85 C@>60O 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K 2 7028A8AB8 >B " ;O A@54=5@0==8E 381@84>2 <0:A8<C9 15A?5G8205BAO ?@8 " 70 8N=L-023CAB 1,2-1,3. 028A8ABL 609=>ABLN D8B>:A8<8@C5BAO C@02=5=85;LHCN C@>609=>ABL D8B>@:A89 7028A8AB8 C@02=5=85 ?@8>1@5B05B 284: y= 72,7 + 94,5x  107,3x2 + 12,9x3, (r2= 0,732) (@8A. 3). 7028A8AB8 >B A:>@>A?5;>AB8 2 @07;8G=K5 ?5@8>4K 2535B0F88 381@84K :C:C@C7K ?@54JO2;ONB =5>48=0:>2K5 B@51>20=8O : @568AB8. =0;87 3>;5B=8E M:A?5@81@01>B:0 ?>72>;8;8 2KO28BL ?>;>68B5;L=CN 2708A2O7L C@>609=>AB8 @0==5A?5;KE 381@84>2 :C:C@C7K (z) A 70?0A04C:B82=>9 2;038 2 2>5 ?>G2K ?5@54 ?>A52>;8G5AB2>A04:>2 (E) 70 8N=L-023CAB. ;O 3@C??K @0==5A?5;KE 381@84>2 >=0 >?8AK205BAO C@02=5=852 C@02=5=85 8 284: Z = 1126,2 + 0,082E  1,48C  0,0018E2 + 0,0059EC + 0,0041C2 (r2= 0,621). #AB0=>2;5=>, GB> C25;8G5=85 :>;8G5AB20 4>ABC?=>9 2;038 (E) A 240 4> 360 <4 A  023CAB A?>A>1AB2>20;> @>ABC C@>609=>AB8 (C) @0==5A?5;KE 381@84>2 A 28,0 4> 40 B/30, B> 5ABL =0 :064K5 10 <ABC?=>9 2;038 4>?>;=8B5;L=> D>@9 <0AAK. -B0 7028A8ABL 0??@>:A8<8@C5BAO =5;8=59=K< C@02=5=85 2840: C = 247,36  2,33E + 0,0080E2  0,000086E3 (r2=0,569).  D>@20=88 D8B>2 (C) 7=0G8B5;L=CN @>;L 83@05B :>;8G5AB2> 4>ABC?=>9 2;038 2 B5G5=85 8N=O-023CAB0 (E). 081>;LH89 ?@8@>AB 18>B70?0A>2 >B 240 4> 380 <<, =0G8=0O A 240 <<, =0 :064K5 10 <@?>;=8B5;L=> 2,5 B/30 75;5=>9 <0AAK. -B0 7028A8ABL 0??@>:A8<8@C5BAO C@02=5=852 =5;8=59=0O 7028A8ABL <564C =0;8G85ABC?=>9 2;038 70 8N=L-023CAB (E) 8 C@>609=>ABLN 75;5=>9 :A820;0AL C@02=5=852 @>;L 4>ABC?=>9 2;038 8N;O-023CAB0 1>;55 7=0G8B5;L=0, G5< 4;O @0==5A?5;KE. "0:, 2708A2O7L :>;8G5AB20 4>ABC?=>9 2;038 70 ?5@8>4 2535B0F88 A 8N;O ?> 023CAB (E) 8 C@>6059 2 :C:C@C7K (C) 0??@>:A8<8@C5BAO C@02=5=85;8=><0 B@5BL59 AB5?5=8: C = 1160,04  15,45E + 0,069E2  0,0010E3 (r2= 0,571). 028A8ABL C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 :C:C@C7K (C) >B :>;8G5AB20 4>ABC?=>9 2;038 (E) 70 8N=L-023CAB 8BK 7028A8AB8 C@>609=>AB8 75;5=>9 2 (C) >B :>;8G5AB20 4>ABC?=>9 2;038 70 8N;L-023CAB (E) E0@0:B5@87>20;0AL :>MDD8F85=B>@@5;OF88 0,677, 0 C@02=5=85 8 284: C = - 1085,5 + 14,46E  0,062E2 + 0,00087E3 (r2=0,677). =0;87 ?>3>4=KE CA;>289 70 19 elmos rvg dimplex model silver (sp4) dunlup 205 55 r16 nokia 9300i thuraya sg 2520 5004.13 () kiev apartaments rent hansa , , omega 4 li-da -134 .- inerta online hotbird dimplex model amesbury 939 dufour 307 8800 white gold tomb raider nokia 3230 raymond weil 8800 gold - shell omala kiev apartments service locus